Publications

2024

Allen, B.J., Hill, D.J., Burke, A.M., Clark, M., Marchant, R., Stringer, L.C., Williams, D.R. and Lyon, C., 2024. Projected future climatic forcing on the global distribution of vegetation types, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 379: 20230011.
Journal Article

Burton, L.E., Haywood, A.M., Tindall, J.C., Dolan, A.M., Hill, D.J., McClymont, E.L., Ho, S.L. and Ford, H.L., 2024. The role of atmospheric CO2 in controlling sea surface temperature change during the Pliocene, Climate of the the Past, 20: 1177-1194.
Journal Article

Haywood, A.M., Tindall, J.C., Burton, L.E., Chandler, M.A., Dolan, A.M., Dowsett, H.J., Feng, R., Fletcher, T.L., Foley, K.M., Hill, D.J., Hunter, S.J., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Lunt, D.J., Robinson, M.M. and Salzmann, U., 2024. Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PlioMIP3) - Science plan and experimental design, Global and Planetary Change, 232: 104316.
Journal Article

Zhang, K., Sun, Y., Zhang, Z., Stepanek, C., Feng, R., Hill, D., Lohmann, G., Dolan, A., Haywood, A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B., Contoux, C., Chandan, D., Ramstein, G., Dowsett, H., Tindall, J., Baatsen, M., Tan, N., Peltier, W.R., Li, Q., Chan, W-L., Wang, X. and Zhang, X., 2024. Revisiting the physical processes controlling the tropical atmospheric circulation changes during the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period, Quaternary International, 682: 46-59.
Journal Article

2023

Burton, L.E., Haywood, A.M., Tindall, J.C., Dolan, A.M., Hill, D.J. Abe-Ouchi, A., Chan, W-L., Chandan, D., Feng, R., Hunter, S.J., Li, X., Peltier, W.R., Tan, N., Stepanek, C. and Zhang, Z., 2023. On the influence of CO2 forcing in the Pliocene, Climate of the Past, 19: 747-764.
Journal Article

Allen, B.J., Clapham, M.E., Saupe, E.E., Wignall, P.B., Hill, D.J. and Dunhill, A.M., 2023. Estimating spatial variation in origination and extinction in deep time: a case study using the Permian-Triassic marin invertebrate fossil record, Paleobiology, pp. 1-18.
Journal Article

2022

Hewett, Z., de Gruchy, M., Hill, D. and Lawrence, D., 2022. Raincheck: A new diachronic series of rainfall maps for Southwest Asia over the Holocene, Levant, 54: 5-28.
Journal Article

2021

Lyon, C., Saupe, E.E., Smith, C.J., Hill, D.J., Beckerman, A.P., Stringer, L.C., Marchant, R., McKay, J., Burke, A., O'Higgins, P., Dunhill, A.M., Allen, B.J., Riel-Salvatore, J. and Aze, T., 2021. Climate change research and action must look beyond 2100, Global Change Biology.
Journal Article
The Conversation Article

2020

Haywood, A.M., Tindall, J.C., Dowsett, H.J., Dolan, A.M., Foley, K.M., Hunter, S.J., Hill, D.J., Chan, W-L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Stepanek, C., Lohmann, G., Chandan, D., Peltier, W.R., Tan, N., Contoux, C., Ramstein, G., Li, X., Zhang, Z., Guo, C., Nisancioglu, K.H., Zhang, Q., Li, Q., Kamae, Y., Chandler, M.A., Sohl, L.E., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Feng, R., Brady, E.C., von der Heydt, A.S., Baatsen, M.L.J. and Lunt, D.J., 2020. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity, Climate of the Past, 16: 2095–2123.
Journal Article

Allen, B.J., Wignall, P.B., Hill, D.J., Saupe, E.E. and Dunhill, A.M., 2020. The latitudinal diversity gradient of tetrapods across the Permo-Triassic mass extinction and recovery interval, Proceedings of the Royal Society, B, 287: 20201125.
Journal Article

Zoura, D., Haywood, A.M., Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M. and Tang, Z., 2020. The role of Central Asian uplift in East Asian Monsoon circulation and its palaeoclimate implication, Global and Planetary Change, 184: 103073.
Journal Article

Ohneiser, C., Wilson, G.S., Beltran, C., Dolan, A.M., Hill, D.J. and Prebble, J.G., 2020. Warm fjords and vegetated landscapes in early Pliocene East Antarctica, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 534: 116045.
Journal Article

Brown, J.L., Hill, D.J. and Haywood, A.M., 2020. A critical evaluation of the Oscillayers methods and datasets, Global Ecology and Biogeography: doi.org/10.1111/geb.13103.
Journal Article

2019

Hill, D.J., 2019. Climate Change and the Rise of the Central Asian Silk Roads, In Yang, L.E., Bork, H-R., Fang, X. and Mischke, S. (eds.). Socio-Environmental Dynamics along the Historical Silk Road, Springer Nature Switzerland, pp. 247-259.
Book Details
Article

Cookson, E., Hill, D.J. and Lawrence, D., 2019. Impacts of long term climate change during the collapse of the Akkadian Empire, Journal of Archaeological Science, 106: 1-9.
Journal Article

Zoura, D., Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Hunter, S.J., Tang, Z. and Haywood, A.M., 2019. Atmospheric carbon dioxide, ice sheet and topographic constraints on palaeo moisture availability in Asia, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 519: 12-27.
Journal Article

Berends, C.J., de Boer, B., Dolan, A.M., Hill, D.J. and van de Wal, R.S.W., 2019. Modelling ice sheet evolution and atmospheric CO2 during the Late Pliocene, Climate of the Past, 15: 1603-1619.
Journal Article

Haywood, A., Valdes, P.J., Aze, T., Barlow, N., Burke, A., Dolan, A.M., von der Heydt, A.S., Hill, D.J., Jamieson, S.S.R., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Salzmann, U., Saupe, E. and Voss, J., 2019. What can palaeoclimate modelling do for you? Earth Systems and Environment, 3: 1-18.
Journal Article

Mills, B.J.W., Krause, A.J., Scotese, C.R., Hill, D.J., Shields, G.A. and Lenton, T.M., 2019. Modelling the long-term carbon cycle, atmospheric CO2, and Earth surface temperature from late Neoproterozoic to present day, Gondwana Research, 67: 172-186.
Journal Article

2018

Dolan, A.M., de Boer, B., Bernales, J., Hill, D.J. and Haywood, A.M., 2018. High Model Dependency of Pliocene Antarctic Ice-Sheet Predictions, Nature Communications, 9: 2799. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-05179-4.
Journal Article

Smith, Y.M., Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Haywood, A.M., Dowsett, H.J. and Risebrobakken, B., 2018. Icebergs in the Nordic Seas throughout the Late Pliocene, Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 33: doi:10.1002/2017PA003240.
Journal Article

Brown, J.L., Hill, D.J. Dolan, A.M., Carnaval, A.C. and Haywood, A.M., 2018. PaleoClim, high spatial resolution paleoclimate surfaces for global land areas, Scientific Data, 5, Article number: 180254.
Journal Article

2017

Hill, D.J., Bolton, K.P. and Haywood, A.M., 2017. Modelled ocean changes at the Plio-Pleistocene transition driven by Antarctic ice advance, Nature Communications, 8: Article number: 14376.
Journal Article

2015

Hill, D.J., 2015. The non-analogue nature of Pliocene temperature gradients, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 425: 232-241.
Journal Article

Dolan, A.M., Haywood, A.M., Hunter, S.J., Tindall, J.C., Dowsett, H.J., Hill, D.J. and Pickering, S.J., 2015. Modelling the enigmatic Late Pliocene glacial event - Marine Isotope Stage M2, Global and Planetary Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.001.
Journal Article

Dolan, A.M., Hunter, S.J., Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Koenig, S.J., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bragg, F.J., Chan, W-L., Chandler, M.A., Contoux, C., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D.J., Ramstein, G., Rosenbloom, N.A., Sohl, L., Stepanek, C., Ueda, H., Yan, Q. and Zhang, Z., 2015. Using results from the PlioMIP ensemble to investigate the Greenland Ice Sheet during the mid-Pliocene Warm Period. Climate of the Past, 11: 403-424.
Journal Article

Koenig, S.J., Dolan, A.M., de Boer, B., Stone, E.J., Hill, D.J., DeConto, R.M., Abe_Ouchi, A., Lunt, D.J., Pollard, D., Quiquet, A., Saito, F., Savage, J. and van de Wal, R., 2015. Ice Sheet model dependency of the simulated Greenland Ice Sheet in the mid-Pliocene. Climate of the Past, 11: 369-381.
Journal Article

2014

Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J., Hunter, S.J., Bragg, F.J., Contoux, C., Stepanek, C., Sohl, L., Rosenbloom, N.A., Chan, W-L., Kamae, Y., Zhang, Z., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chandler, M.A., Jost, A., Lohmann, G., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Ramstein, G., and Ueda, H., 2014. Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations. Climate of the Past, 10: 79-90.
Journal Article

Cook, C.P., Hill, D.J., van de Flierdt, T., Williams, T., Hemming, S.R., Dolan, A.M., Pierce, E.L., Escutia, C., Harwood, D., Cortese, G. and Gonzales, J.J., 2014. Sea surface temperature control on the distribution of far-traveled Southern Ocean ice-rafted detritus during the Pliocene. Paleoceanography, 29: doi:10.1002/2014PA002625.
Journal Article

Howell, F.W., Haywood, A.M., Dolan, A.M., Dowsett, H.J., Francis, J.E., Hill, D.J., Pickering, S.J., Pope, J.O., Salzmann, U. and Wade, B.S., 2014. Can uncertainties in sea ice albedo reconcile patterns of data-model discord for the Pliocene and 20th/21st centuries? Geophysical Research Letters, 41: doi:10.1002/2013GL058872.
Journal Article

2013

Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Valdes, P.J., Francis, J.E., Lunt, D.J., Wade, B.S. and Bowman, V.C., 2013. Paleogeographic controls on the onset of the Antarctic circumpolar current. Geophysical Research Letters, 40: doi:10.1002/grl.50941.
Journal Article

Salzmann, U., Dolan, A.M., Haywood, A.M., Chan, W-L., Voss, J., Hill, D.J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Bragg, F.J., Chandler, M.A., Contoux, C., Dowsett, H.J., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D.J., Pickering, S.J., Pound, M.J., Ramstein, G., Rosenbloom, N.A., Sohl, L.E., Stepanek, C., Ueda, H. and Zhang, Z-S., 2013. Challenges in quantifying Pliocene terrestrial warming revealed by data-model discord. Nature Climate Change, 3: 969-974.
Journal Article

Haywood, A.M., Dolan, A.M., Pickering, S.J., Dowsett, H.J., McClymont, E.L., Prescott, C.L., Salzmann, U., Hill, D.J., Hunter, S.J., Lunt, D.J., Pope, J.O. and Valdes, P.J., 2013. On the identification of a Pliocene time slice for data-model comparison. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 371: 20120515, doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0515.
Journal Article

Clark, N.A., Williams, M., Hill, D.J., Quilty, P.G., Smellie, J.L., Zalasiewicz, J., Leng, M.J. and Ellis, M.A., 2013. Fossil proxies of near-shore sea surface temperatures and seasonality from the late Neogene Antarctic shelf. Naturwissenschaften, 100: 699-722.
Journal Article

Haywood, A.M., Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Bragg, F., Chan, W.-L., Chandler, M.A., Contoux, C., Dowsett, H.J., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D.J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Pickering, S.J., Ramstein, G., Rosenbloom, N.A., Salzmann, U., Sohl, L., Stepanek, C., Ueda, H., Yan, Q. and Z. Zhang, 2013. Large-scale features of Pliocene climate: results from the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project. Climate of the Past, 9: 191-209.
Journal Article

Zhang, Z-S., Nisancioglu, K.H., Chandler, M.A., Haywood, A.M., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Ramstein, G., Stepanek, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chan, W-L., Bragg, F.J., Contoux, C., Dolan, A.M., Hill, D.J., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D.J., Rosenbloom, N.A., Sohl, L.E. and Ueda, H., 2013. Mid-pliocene Atlantic meridional overturning circulation not unlike modern? Climate of the Past, 9: 1495-1504.
Journal Article

Zhang, R., Yan, Q., Zhang, Z.S., Jiang, D., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Haywood, A.M., Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Stepanek, C., Lohmann, G., Contoux, C., Bragg, F., Chan, W-L., Chandler, M.A., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Ramstein, G., Rosenbloom, N.A., Sohl, L., and Ueda, H., 2013. East Asian monsoon climate simulated in the PlioMIP. Climate of the Past, 9: 2085-2099.
Journal Article

2012

Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Harrison, S.P. and Braconnot, P., 2012. Paleoclimate modeling: an integrated component of climate change science. PAGES Newsletter, 20(2): 103.
Workshop Report

Dolan, A.M., Koenig, S.J., Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M. and DeConto, R.M., 2012. Pliocene Ice Sheet Modelling Intercomparison Project (PLISMIP) - experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, 5: 963-974.
Journal Article

Dowsett, H.J., Robinson, M.M., Haywood, A.M., Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Stoll, D.K., Chan, W-L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chandler, M.A., Rosenbloom, N.A., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Bragg, F.J., Lunt, D.J., Foley, K.M. and Riesselman, C.R., 2012. Assessing confidence in Pliocene sea surface temperatures to evaluate predictive models. Nature Climate Change, 2: 365-371.
Journal Article

Francis, J., Haywood, A., Hill, D., Markwick, P. and McDonald, C., 2012. Environmental Change in the Geological Record. In Matthews, J.A. et al., (eds.). The SAGE Handbook of Environmental Change, SAGE, London, pp. 165-180.
Book Details

2011

Hill, D.J., Csank, A.Z., Dolan, A.M. and Lunt, D.J., 2011. Pliocene climate variability: Northern Annular Mode in models and tree-ring data. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309: 118-127.
Journal Article

Dolan, A.M., Haywood, A.M., Hill, D.J., Dowsett, H.J., Hunter, S.J., Lunt, D.J. and Pickering, S.J., 2011. Sensitivity of Pliocene ice sheets to orbital forcing. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309: 98-110.
Journal Article

Robinson, M.M., Valdes, P.J., Haywood, A.M., Dowsett, H.J., Hill, D.J. and Jones, S.M., 2011. Bathymetric controls on Pliocene North Atlantic and Arctic sea surface temperature and deepwater production. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309: 92-97.
Journal Article

Dowsett, H.J., Haywood, A.M., Valdes, P.J., Robinson, M.M., Lunt, D.J. Hill, D.J., Stoll, D.K. and Foley, K.M., 2011. Sea surface temperatures of the mid-Piacenzian Warm Period: A comparison of PRISM3 and HadCM3. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309: 83-91.
Journal Article

Haywood, A.M., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D.J., Hill, D.J., Pound, M.J., Dowsett, H.J., Dolan, A.M., Francis, J.E. and Williams, M., 2011. Are there pre-Quaternary geological analogues for a future greenhouse warming? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 369: 933-956.
Journal Article

2010

Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Haywood, A.M., Hunter, S.J. and Stoll, D.K., 2010. Sensitivity of the Greenland Ice Sheet to Pliocene sea surface temperatures. Stratigraphy, 7: 111-122.
Journal Article
NORA Entry

Dowsett, H., Robinson, M., Haywood, A., Salzmann, U., Hill, D.J., Sohl, L., Chandler, M., Williams, M., Foley, K. and Stoll, D., 2010. The PRISM3D palaeoenvironmental reconstruction. Stratigraphy, 7: 123-139.
NORA Entry

Haywood, A.M., Dowsett, H.J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Chandler, M.A., Dolan, A.M., Hill, D.J., Lunt, D.J., Robinson, M.M., Rosenbloom, N., Salzmann, U. and Sohl, L.E., 2010. Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP): experimental design and boundary conditions (Experiment 1). Geoscientific Model Development, 3: 227-242.
Journal Article

2009

Hill, D.J., 2009. Modelling Earth's cryosphere during Peak Pliocene Warmth. PhD Thesis. University of Bristol / British Antarctic Survey. pp. 334.

2008

Haywood, A.M., Ashworth, A., Cantrill, D.J., Florindo, F., Hambrey, M.J., Hill, D.J., Hillenbrand, C.D., Hunter, S.J., Larter, R.D., Lear, C.H., Passchier, S., Smellie, J.L. and van de Wal, R., 2008. The Middle Miocene to Pliocene record of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. In Siegert, M. and Florindo, F. (eds.), Antarctic Climate Evolution, Developments in Earth and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, v. 8, pp. 401-463.
Journal Article

Salzmann, U., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.V., and Hill, D.J., 2008. A new global biome reconstruction and data - model comparison for the Middle Pliocene, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17(3): 432-447.
Journal Article
NORA Entry

2007

Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Hindmarsh, R.C.A. and Valdes, P.J., 2007. Characterising Ice Sheets during the Pliocene: Evidence from Data and Models. In Williams, M., Haywood, A.M., Gregory, J. and Schmidt, D. (eds.). Deep Time Perspectives on Climate Change, The Micropalaeontological Society / The Geological Society of London, London, pp. 517-538.
Book Details
NORA Entry
BAS Paper of the Month

Haywood, A.M., Valdes, P.J., Hill, D.J. and Williams, M., 2007. The mid Pliocene Warm Period: A Test-bed for Integrating Data and Models. In Williams, M., Haywood, A.M., Gregory, J. and Schmidt, D. (eds.). Deep Time Perspectives on Climate Change, The Micropalaeontological Society / The Geological Society of London, London, pp. 443-458.
Book Details
NORA Entry