Publications

Google Scholar profile


2019

Finney, D. L., J. H. Marsham, D. Walker, C. E. Birch, B. Woodhams, L. Jackson, S. Hardy, 2019: The contrasting effects of the Congo and Indian Ocean on East African rainfall: the role of tropical cyclones and the MJO, J. Climate, in review..

Provod, M., J. H. Marsham, D. J. Parker, C. E. Birch, 2019: Processes controlling the diurnal cycle of moist convection in the summertime West African Sahel, Mon. Weat. Rev., in review..

Woodhams, B. J., C. E. Birch, J. H. Marsham, C. L. Bain, T. L. Bain, S. Webster, 2019: The dynamics of severe storms over Lake Victoria in equatorial East AfricaMon. Weat. Rev., accepted.

Keane, R. J., K. Williams, A. Stirling, G. Martin, C. E. Birch, D. J. Parker, 2019: Fast biases in Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall in the Met Office Unified Model, J. Clim., accepted.

Walker, D. P., C. E. Birch, J. H. Marsham, A. A. Scaife, R. J. Graham, Z. T Segele, 2019: Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall, Clim. Dyn., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04835-9.

Fletcher, J. K., D. J. Parker, A. G. Turner, A. Menon, G. M. Martin, C. E. Birch, A. Mitra, M. Govindankutty, K. M. R. Hunt, C. M. Taylor, R. A. Houze, S. R. Brodzik, G. S. Bhat, J. H. Marsham, 2018: New aircraft observations of the dynamic and thermodynamic structure of the southwest monsoon over Southern India, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3439.


2018

Woodhams, B., C. E. Birch, J. Marsham, C. Bain, 2018: What is the added-value of a convection-permitting model for forecasting extreme rainfall over tropical East Africa? Mon. Weat. Rev., https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0396.1.

Dessai, S., A. Bhave, C. E. Birch, D. Conway, L. Garcia-Carreras, J. P. Gosling, N. Mittal, D. Stainforth, 2018: Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation, Env. Res. Lett., http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aabcdd.


2017

Ackerley, D., C. E. Birch, L. Garcia-Carreras, S. Lavender, E. Weller, 2017: The physical processes that cause nocturnal rainfall over north-west Australia and their representation in models with parameterized convection, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 10.1002/qj.3223.

Bourgeois, E., D. Bouniol, F. Couvreux, F. Guichard, J. Marsham, L, Garcia-Carreras, C. E. Birch, D. Parker, 2017: Characterisitics of mid-level clouds over West Africa, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 10.1002/qj.3215.

White, B. A., A. M. Buchanan, C. E. Birch, P. Stier, K. J. Pearson, 2017: Quantifying the effects of horizontal grid length and parameterised convection on the degree of convective organisation, J. Atmos. Sci., doi:10.1175/JAS-D-16-0307.1.

Brooks, I. M., M. Tjernström, P. O. G. Persson, M. D. Shupe, R. A. Atkinson, G. Canut, C. E. Birch, T. Mauritsen, J. Sedlar, J. Brooks, 2017: The turbulent structure of the Arctic summer boundary layer during ASCOS, J. Geophys. Res., DOI:10.1002/2017JD027234.

Diop-Kane, M. D. J. Parker, 2017: Meteorology of Tropical West Africa: The Forecasters' Handbook. Chapter 10: Numerical Weather Prediction over Africa, by S. Milton, A. Diongue-Niang, B. Lamptey, C. Bain, C. E. Birch, John Wiley and Sons Ltd, p380-422.

Willetts, P. D., J. H. Marsham, C. E. Birch, D. J. Parker, S. Webster, J. Petch, 2017: Moist convection and its upscale effects in the Indian Monsoon, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., DOI:10.1002/qj.2991.

Willetts, P. D., A. Turner, G. Martin, G. Mrudula, K. Hunt, D. Parker, C. Taylor, C. E. Birch, A. Mitra, 2016: The 2015 Indian summer monsoon onset - Phenomena, forecasting and research flight planning, Weather, DOI:10.1002/wea.2819.


2016

Trigg, M., C. E. Birch, J. Neal, P. Bates, A. Smith, C. Sampson, D. Yamazaki, Y. Hirabayashi, F. Pappenberger, E. Dutra, P. Ward, H. Winsemius, P. Salamon, F. Dottori, R. Rudari, M. Kappes, A. Simpson, G. Hadzilacos, T. Fewtrell, 2016: How much do we really know about river flooding? Env. Sci. J. For Teens,, October 2016.

Trigg, M., C. E. Birch, J. Neal, P. Bates, A. Smith, C. Sampson, D. Yamazaki, Y. Hirabayashi, F. Pappenberger, E. Dutra, P. Ward, H. Winsemius, P. Salamon, F. Dottori, R. Rudari, M. Kappes, A. Simpson, G. Hadzilacos, T. Fewtrell, 2016: The credibility challenge for global fluvial flood risk analysis, Env. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094014.

Parker, D. J., P. Willetts, C. E. Birch, A. G. Turner, J. H. Marsham, C. M. Taylor, S. Kolusu, G. M. Martin, 2016: The interaction of moist convection and mid-level dry air in the advance of the onset of the Indian monsoon, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi: 10.1002/qj.2815.

Birch, C. E., S. Webster, S. C. Peatman, D. J. Parker, A. J. Matthews, Y. Li, M. E. Hassim, 2016: Scale interactions between the MJO and the Maritime Continent, J. Climate. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0557.1. pdf

Provod, M., J. H. Marsham, D. J. Parker, C. E. Birch, 2015: A characterization of cold pools in the West African Sahel, Mon. Weat. Rev., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0023 .


2015

Schmidt, A., S. Leadbetter, N. Theys, E. Carboni, J. A. Stevenson, T. Thordarson, C. S. Witham, M. Hort, S. Turnock, C. E. Birch, W. Feng, N. A. D. Richards, I. Ialongo, T. Johannsson, P. Kenny, L. Delaney, 2015: Satellite detection, long-range transport and air quality impacts of volcanic sulfur dioxide from the 2014-2015 flood lava eruption at Baroarbunga (Iceland), J. Geophys. Res., DOI:10.1002/2015JD023638.

Birch, C. E., M. Roberts, L. Garcia-Carreras, D. Ackerley, M. Reeder, A. Lock, 2015: Sea breeze dynamics and convection initiation: the influence of convective parameterisation on model biases, J. Climate, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00850.1. pdf

Stein, T. H. M., D. J. Parker, R. J. Hogan, C. E. Birch, C. E. Holloway, G. Lister, J. H. Marsham, S. J. Woolnough, 2015: The representation of the West-African Monsoon vertical cloud structure in the Met Office Unified Model: An evaluation with CloudSat, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., DOI: 10.1002/qj.2614.

Fiedler, S., P. Knippertz, S. Woodward, G. Martin, N. Bellouin, C. Birch, B. Heinold, K. Schepanski, I. Tegen, 2015: A process-based evaluation of winds important for dust emission in the CMIP5 simulation of HadGEM2-ES, Clim. Dym., 10.1007/s00382-015-2635-9.

Garcia-Carreras, L., A. J. Challinor, B. J. Parkes, C. E. Birch, K. J. Nicklin, 2015: The impact of parameterised convection on the simulation of crop processes, J. Appl. Met. Clim., http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0226.1.

Pantillon, F., P. Knippertz, J. Marsham, C. E. Birch, 2015: A parameterization of convective dust storms for models with mass-flux convective schemes, J. Atmos. Sci., http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0341.1.


2014

Birch, C. E., J. H. Marsham, D. J. Parker, C. M. Taylor, 2014: The scale-dependence and structure of convergence fields preceding the initiation of deep convection, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2014GL060493. pdf

Birch, C. E., M. J. Reeder, G. J. Berry, 2014: Wave-cloud lines over the Arabian Sea, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1002/2013JD021347. pdf

Procter, N., C. E. Birch, G. Monk, J. H. Marsham, 2014: Verification of Mountain Weather Information Service forecasts for three upland areas in the UK, Weather, doi: 10.1002/wea.2314. pdf

Birch, C. E., D. J. Parker, J. H. Marsham, D. Copsey, L. Garcia-Carreras, 2014: A seamless assessment of the role of convection in the water cycle of the West African Monsoon, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1002/2013JD020887. pdf

Browse, J., K. S. Carslaw, G. Mann, C. E. Birch,, S.R. Arnold, C. Leck, 2014: The complex response to Arctic CCN to sea-ice retreat, Atmos. Chem. Phys. , doi:10.5194/acp-14-7543-2014.

Tjernström, M., C. Leck, C. E. Birch,, J. W. Bottenheim, B. Brooks, I. Brooks, L. Bäcklin, R. Chang, E. Granath, M. Graus, A. Hansel, J. Heintzenberg, A. Held, A. Hind, S. de la Rosa Høhn, P. Johnston, J. Knulst., G. de Leeuw, L. Di Liberto, M. Martin, P. Matrai, T. Mauritsen, M. Müller, S. Norris, M. Orellana, D. Orsini, J. Paatero, O. Persson, G. Qiuji, C. Rauschenberg, Z. Ristovski, J. Sedlar, M. Shupe, B. Sierau, A. Sirevaag, S. Sjogren, O. Stetzer, E. Swietlicki, M. Szczodrak, P. Vaattovaara, N. Wahlberg, M. Westberg, C. Wheeler, 2014: The Arctic Summer Cloud-Ocean Study (ASCOS): Overview and experimental design, Atmos. Chem. Phys., doi:10.5194/acp-14-2823-2014.



2013

Taylor, C. M., C. E. Birch, D. J. Parker, N. Dixon, F. Guichard, G. Nikulin, G. M. S. Lister, 2013: Modelling soil moisture - precipitation feedbacks in the Sahel: importance of spatial scale versus convective parameterization, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1002/2013GL058511.

Marsham, J. H., N. Dixon, L. Garcia-Carreras, G. M. S. Lister, D. J. Parker, P. Knippertz, C. E. Birch, 2013: The role of moist convection in the West African monsoon system - insights from continental-scale convection-permitting simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 1843-1849, doi:10.1002/grl.50347.

Pearson, K. J., G. M. S. Lister, C. E. Birch, R. P. Allan, R. J. Hogan, S. J. Woolnough, 2013: Modelling the diurnal cycle of tropical convection across the "Grey Zone", Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.2145.

Birch, C. E., D. J. Parker, A. O'Leary, C. M. Taylor, J. H. Marsham, P. Harris, G. Lister, 2013: The impact of soil moisture and atmospheric waves on the development of a mesoscale convective system: A model study of an observed AMMA case, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 139, 1712-1730, doi:10.1002/qj.2062, (winner of the 2013 L F Richardson Prize of the Royal Meteorological Society). pdf

Birch, C. E., M. J. Reeder, 2013: Wave-cloud lines over northwest Australia, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 139, 1311-1326, doi:10.1002/qj.2043. pdf



2012

Tjernström, M., C. E. Birch, I. M. Brooks, C. Leck, T. Mauritsen, J. Paatero, O. Persson, J. Sedlar, M. D. Shupe, M. Szczodrak, C. R. Wheeler, 2012: Meteorological conditions in the central Arctic summer during the Arctic Summer Cloud Ocean Study (ASCOS), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 6863-6889, doi:10.5194/acp-12-6863-2012.

Birch, C. E., I. M. Brooks, M. Tjernström, M. D. Shupe, S. F. Milton, P. Earnshaw, T. Mauritsen, J. Sedlar, P. O. G. Persson and C. Leck, 2012: Modelling atmospheric structure, cloud and their response to CCN in the central Arctic: ASCOS case studies, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 3419-3435, doi:10.5194/acp-12-3419-2012. pdf

Birch, C. E., D. J. Parker, J. H. Marsham, G. M. Devine, 2012: The effect of orography and surface albedo on stratification in the summertime Saharan atmospheric boundary layer: dynamics and implications for dust transport, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05105, doi:10.1029/2011JD015965. pdf



2011

Norris, S. J., I. M. Brooks, D. Leeuw, A. Sirevaag, C. Leck, B. J. Brooks, C. E. Birch, M. Tjernström, T. G. Leighton, 2011: Measurements of bubble size spectra within leads in the Arctic summer pack ice, Ocean Sci., 7, 129-139, doi:10.5194/os-7-129-2011.

Sedlar, J., M. Tjernström, T. Mauritsen, M. D. Shupe, I. M. Brooks, P. O. G. Persson, C. E. Birch, C. Leck, A. Sirevaag and M. Nicolaus, 2011: A transitioning Arctic surface energy budget: the impacts of solar zenith angle, surface albedo and cloud radiative forcing, Clim. Dynam., 37, 1643-1660, doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0937-5.



2009

Birch, C. E., I. M. Brooks, M. Tjernström, S. F. Milton, P. Earnshaw, S. Söderberg and P. O. G. Persson, 2009: The performance of a global and mesoscale model over the central Arctic Ocean during late summer, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D13104, doi:10.1029/2008JD010790. pdf




PhD thesis

Surface-Atmosphere coupling over the central Arctic Ocean, University of Leeds, October 2009.